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Thank you for a balanced, honest, non-scaremongering pragmatic view. It is very refreshing.
Registering as an AEO isn't going to shift the cliffs of Dover back half a mile to make room for the new customs terminal we need.
A "no deal" Brexit was/is never going to happen. It's not in UK or EU interest. I think now we can see what is going to happen, which I always thought would. Negotiations will continue for the next 2 maybe 4 years, by which time the EU will have realised that they will have to change with what the "people" of Europe want. The ideology of a one army, one parliament has really gone out of the window. Nobody except politicians want it. Our parliament will pass this agreement through (they really have no choice. TM has backed them into a corner, especially as the EU are in agreement). There will be no general election and I very much doubt if there will be a leadership contest.
That is one perm, there are others.
The arithmetic in the H of C needs some breaking of ranks, the DUP are lost to her so where are the votes coming from? Even if she gets all the ERG members (and she will not) she is short.
(I posted elsewhere on the web she should bribe the Nats, promise them Indy ref 2, £250bn set up funds if Scotland votes yes and £50 bn a year for say 4 years 9and no share of National Debt) and I am sure Nicky will give her the 35 votes- catch is 35 may not be enough)
I can spin just as plausible a solution that May ,deal defeated, impasse, H of C waves hands in air and throws back to public, Referendum 2 takes place and blame (for either result) then rests with public; politicians then body swerve all incompetence charges and get back to shredding one another over the NHS.
Still all to play for-Brexit could yet turn out to be a two match fixture.
I can see where you're coming from and listening to Nicky on Andrew Marr (oh woe is me nobody loves Scotland) that's what she could well be hankering for (maybe the two ladies have already done a deal). There can't be a ref 2, otherwise you would have a leadership battle in the Tories then a general election, which still won't resolve the issue.
I think with Brexit "Can't" is not a word in the lexicon, everything and nothing is possible; it is amazing what can be cobbled together when faced with the prospect of losing one's position as an MP. (Trough time)
The political pressure appears to be ratcheting up re May's deal as the 27 possibly back it (well Spain might not), it appears, so that likely puts the kibosh on the ERG accepting it.
I am no longer predicting anything except that predicting that the eventual outcome is unpredictable.